Carl Kaufman of Osterwise Management - Rising Inflation and Changing Markets

In today’s episode, Rusty and Robyn talk with Carl Kaufman, Co-CEO, Co-President, and Managing Director of Fixed Income at Osterwise Management in San Francisco. Before it was the norm, Carl was designing flexible fixed income strategies for his firm’s clients. His decades of industry experience built the trust necessary to switch to the brokerage industry and start work on some game-changing advancements. Carl talks with Rusty and Robyn about the difference between investment-grade and high-yield bonds, the post-pandemic state of the US market, and inflation projections.  "Try to keep perspective. Ask yourself what is really important. And, don’t forget to look into the real world because sometimes you get so caught up in the Wall Street hype and you forget what the real world is. I learned this lesson very early on unfortunately in the crash of ‘87." ~Carl Kaufman Main Takeaways  Be flexible enough to tap into investment grades to get better downside protection. You can achieve better results with high-yield bonds if you deploy the right strategy. As long as the economy remains strong and interest rates remain low, companies that have leverage will still do better. A three to five percent rate of inflation is normal, but it will take time for the market to achieve that target.  Be willing to take lower yields for a period of time. Be patient and stay defensive as there will always be corrections.  The dollar will remain the world reserve currency. As long as the world continues to rely on the US Treasury, dollars stay in a safe position. Links Carl Kaufman on LinkedIn Osterweis Capital Management Gilbert and Sullivan’s I Am the Very Model of a Modern Major-General Robertson Stephens Merrill Lynch NYU Stern School of Business Harvard University Department of Music A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing by Burton G. Malkiel Jeremy Siegel FIMA Repo Facility New York Times FT Bloomberg NewCo Connect with our hosts Rusty Vanneman Robyn Murray Subscribe and stay in touch Apple Podcasts Spotify Google Podcasts

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Orion’s The Weighing Machine How does Orion help financial advisors guide investors toward their financial goals? We provide the services and solutions advisors need to help clients stay invested in balanced portfolios. On Orion’s “The Weighing Machine,” featuring Orion Chief Investment Officer Rusty Vanneman, CFA, CMT, BFA, we cut through the market clamor and focus on time-tested principles that help financial advisors and investors reach their long-term financial goals. Each podcast reviews weekly commentary by Orion’s investment team and features a special guest to discuss market headlines. Wealth Management services are offered by Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC d/b/a Brinker Capital Investments a registered investment advisor. Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC is a wholly owned subsidiary of Orion Advisor Solutions, Inc. (“Orion”). The CFA®️ is a globally respected, graduate-level investment credential established in 1962 and awarded by CFA Institute — the largest global association of investment professionals. To learn more about the CFA charter, visit www.cfainstitute.org. The CMT Program demonstrates mastery of a core body of knowledge of investment risk in portfolio management. The Chartered Market Technician®️ (CMT) designation marks the highest education within the discipline and is the preeminent designation for practitioners of technical analysis worldwide. To learn more about the CMT, visit https://cmtassociation.org/. Think2perform’s Behavioral Financial Advice program integrates traditional finance practices with psychology and neuroscience to improve emotional competency and decision-making behavior that increases effective usage of the financial plan with clients. To obtain the Behavioral Financial Advisor (BFA) designation, participants must complete a self-directed course, which takes 20-30 hours to complete, and includes a mix of interactive exercises, videos and case studies. To learn more about the BFA, visit https://www.think2perform.com. 0503-OPS-3/4/2024