S1 Episode 02: “Conflicts We Can (Not) Predict”
Nils Metternich, Associate Professor in International Relations at the University College London and an expert on civil conflicts and the prediction of their dynamics joins Dr. Katharina Emschermann, Deputy Director at the Centre for International Security, in looking to the future. They discuss: - what we can and cannot predict in international security, - why a Nobel Peace Prize winner went to war in Ethiopia, - the role of forecasting in the policymaking process, and what conflicts to watch in 2021.