“Preparing for the Intelligence Explosion” by finm, William_MacAskill, Forethought

This is a link post.

This is a linkpost for a new paper called Preparing for the Intelligence Explosion, by Will MacAskill and Fin Moorhouse. It sets the high-level agenda for the sort of work that Forethought is likely to focus on.

Some of the areas in the paper that we expect to be of most interest to EA Forum or LessWrong readers are:

  • Section 3 finds that even without a software feedback loop (i.e. “recursive self-improvement”), even if scaling of compute completely stops in the near term, and even if the rate of algorithmic efficiency improvements slow, then we should still expect very rapid technological development — e.g. a century's worth of progress in a decade — once AI meaningfully substitutes for human researchers.
  • A presentation, in section 4, of the sheer range of challenges that an intelligence explosion would pose, going well beyond the “standard” focuses of [...]

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First published:
March 11th, 2025

Source:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/boWLMTtv6BZGAWjrS/preparing-for-the-intelligence-explosion

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