“The Game Board has been Flipped: Now is a good time to rethink what you’re doing” by LintzA
Introduction Several developments over the past few months should cause you to re-evaluate what you are doing. These include: Updates toward short timelines The Trump presidency The o1 (inference-time compute scaling) paradigm Deepseek Stargate/AI datacenter spending Increased internal deployment Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse Taken together, these are enough to render many existing AI governance strategies obsolete (and probably some technical safety strategies too). There's a good chance we're entering crunch time and that should absolutely affect your theory of change and what you plan to work on. In this piece I try to give a quick summary of these developments and think through the broader implications these have for AI safety. At the end of the piece I give some quick initial thoughts on how these developments affect what safety-concerned folks should be prioritizing. These are early days and I expect many of [...] ---Outline:(00:06) Introduction(01:21) Implications of recent developments(01:25) Updates toward short timelines(04:26) The Trump Presidency(07:34) The o1 paradigm(09:23) Deepseek(12:08) Stargate/AI data center spending(13:11) Increased internal deployment(15:43) Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse(17:13) Implications for strategic priorities(17:18) Broader implications for US-China competition(19:33) What seems less likely to work?(20:56) What should people concerned about AI safety do now?(24:01) AcknowledgementsThe original text contained 13 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: January 28th, 2025 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JN3kHaiosmdA7kgNY/the-game-board-has-been-flipped-now-is-a-good-time-to --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.