“Where I Am Donating in 2024” by MichaelDickens
Summary It's been a while since I last put serious thought into where to donate. Well I'm putting thought into it this year and I'm changing my mind on some things. I now put more priority on existential risk (especially AI risk), and less on animal welfare and global priorities research. I believe I previously gave too little consideration to x-risk for emotional reasons, and I've managed to reason myself out of those emotions. Within x-risk: AI is the most important source of risk. There is a disturbingly high probability that alignment research won't solve alignment by the time superintelligent AI arrives. Policy work seems more promising. Specifically, I am most optimistic about policy advocacy for government regulation to pause/slow down AI development. In the rest of this post, I will explain: Why I prioritize x-risk over animal-focused [...] ---Outline:(00:04) Summary(01:30) I dont like donating to x-risk(03:56) Cause prioritization(04:00) S-risk research and animal-focused longtermism(05:52) X-risk vs. global priorities research(07:01) Prioritization within x-risk(08:08) AI safety technical research vs. policy(11:36) Quantitative model on research vs. policy(14:20) Man versus man conflicts within AI policy(15:13) Parallel safety/capabilities vs. slowing AI(22:56) Freedom vs. regulation(24:24) Slow nuanced regulation vs. fast coarse regulation(27:02) Working with vs. against AI companies(32:49) Political diplomacy vs. advocacy(33:38) Conflicts that arent man vs. man but nonetheless require an answer(33:55) Pause vs. Responsible Scaling Policy (RSP)(35:28) Policy research vs. policy advocacy(36:42) Advocacy directed at policy-makers vs. the general public(37:32) Organizations(39:36) Important disclaimers(40:56) AI Policy Institute(42:03) AI Safety and Governance Fund(43:29) AI Standards Lab(43:59) Campaign for AI Safety(44:30) Centre for Enabling EA Learning and Research (CEEALAR)(45:13) Center for AI Policy(47:27) Center for AI Safety(49:06) Center for Human-Compatible AI(49:32) Center for Long-Term Resilience(55:52) Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)(57:33) Centre for Long-Term Policy(58:12) Centre for the Governance of AI(59:07) CivAI(01:00:05) Control AI(01:02:08) Existential Risk Observatory(01:03:33) Future of Life Institute (FLI)(01:03:50) Future Society(01:06:27) Horizon Institute for Public Service(01:09:36) Institute for AI Policy and Strategy(01:11:00) Lightcone Infrastructure(01:12:30) Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)(01:15:22) Manifund(01:16:28) Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)(01:17:45) Palisade Research(01:19:10) PauseAI Global(01:21:59) PauseAI US(01:23:09) Sentinel rapid emergency response team(01:24:52) Simon Institute for Longterm Governance(01:25:44) Stop AI(01:27:42) Where Im donating(01:28:57) Prioritization within my top five(01:32:17) Where Im donating (this is the section in which I actually say where Im donating)The original text contained 58 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. The original text contained 1 image which was described by AI. --- First published: November 19th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.