Stellar Jobs Report Sends Recession Odds Spiraling | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss the latest bullish jobs report, the impact of globally-coordinated easing, and the Middle East's impact on markets. We also delve into the recent SOFR explosion, election pricing in markets, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1S24tXpteiZg1jilfU8aXk0L_NtXFLXVg/view?usp=drive_link — Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: JAUVIN30 for a 30% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:34) Non-Farm Payrolls (10:59) Fixed Income & High Yield (12:43) Global Coordinated Easing Cycle (16:20) US Dollar & US Exceptionalism (18:52) Global Easing Driving Growth & Liquidity (22:08) The Big Picture (26:32) Permissionless Ad (27:11) Oil, Gold, & the Middle East (31:37) Global Collateral Shift (33:19) Middle East Tail Risk (36:23) SOFR Explosion & QT (42:09) Simplifying Macro Trading (45:25) Economic Politics (48:28) Crypto Markets (50:31) Election Pricing in Markets (55:56) Permissionless Next Week — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.