Generating Alpha In Macro | Capital Flows
In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to discuss his macro philosophy & framework, why he was bullish after the VIX surge, and his views on the yield curve. We also discuss the equity bull market, whether the Fed will allow a recession, and the key drivers of bitcoin's price. Enjoy! -- Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Capital Flows Substack: https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/ Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin -- MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/ -- Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:59) Capital Flows Research & Strategy (04:49) Macro Philosophy (07:48) Macro Framework (11:39) Bullish After VIX Surge (15:26) Credit & Duration Risk (18:46) Mantra Ad (19:26) Interest Rate Expectations (25:51) Bull Vs Bear Steepener (27:27) What's Priced Into The Curve (30:38) Permissionless Ad (31:17) What's Driving The Equity Bull Market (36:31) Upside Tail Risks (39:31) Will The Fed Allow An Extended Recession? (43:58) Bitcoin Price Drivers -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.