Post-Presidential Election Special with Ray Conley: Why Ray Believes Trump Will Win
My old friend Ray Conley returns to explain why his Bayesian analysis leads him to calculate that Donald Trump has a 66% chance of being reinaugurated on January 20, 2021, and why December 10 will determine the outcome of the election. We explore the motivations of the Supreme Court and state legislatures, and why he and I disagree so much on the odds. We conclude with some of Ray's thoughts on trades you could make to bet on a Trump victory. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/chris-yeh-podcast/support