Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, and Control Strategies
Bostrom's work explores the potential paths to superintelligence, outlining the significant dangers and the necessity of developing control strategies. He categorizes control methods into managing capabilities and motivations, examining options like containment ("boxing"), incentivizing beneficial behavior, and selecting appropriate goals. The text also discusses different forms of superintelligent AI, such as oracles, genies, and tools, highlighting the unique risks and challenges associated with each. Furthermore, it analyzes various approaches to instilling desired values in AI, including direct specification, indirect normativity, and learning-based methods. The author considers the strategic implications of pursuing superintelligence, including the risks of uncoordinated development and the potential benefits of collaboration. Finally, the text emphasizes the urgency of strategic analysis and capacity-building to navigate the complex challenges posed by the advent of superintelligence and ensure a positive outcome for humanity.