SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver
This episode is all about understanding the nuances of trend-following and how current market dynamics are shaking things up. Together with Rob Carver, we discuss the turbulence that hit financial markets in April and how that affected Trend Followers, as well as how Rob navigated the last 12 months as a trend follower. Plus, we explore the intriguing topic of safe haven assets, questioning if traditional choices like U.S. treasury bonds still hold up under pressure. We also explore a paper that the discuss the pros and cons of simplicity over complexity in strategy design.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:40 - What has caught our attention recently?06:59 - Society is going crazy09:47 - Industry performance update16:22 - How to capture the bounce in trailing stops23:20 - Industry performance numbers25:18 - Q1, Niall: What books would you recommend for a young quant entering the CTA space today?29:05 - Reviewing Rob's annual trend following performance36:26 - Should we start to rethink our approach to drawdowns?40:45 - How do we stop investors from projecting market expectations to trend following performance44:16 - How Rob defines slippage50:12 - What if we base our trend system on one indicator?54:18 - Does this trend following thing still work?58:56 - Getting to know the founders of trend...